More on the Suffolk poll

This is the one that showed Jon Corzine leading Chris Christie by nine points …
Patrick Murray, who directs the polling institute at Monmouth University, says there are two problem with that poll, one major and one minor. Here they are:

Major: Their likely voter screen let in 93 percent of registered voters. Yes, their likely voter model is based on a 93 percent turnout! And as we have seen in our polling all year, a lot of Dem-leaning, would-be Corzine voters intend to sit this one out.

Minor: they weighted their party ID question to the party registration split.

About fsnowflack
Fred Snowflack was editorial page editor and a political columnist for the Daily Record of Morristown for almost 12 years. He has won numerous awards for editorial and column writing from the New Jersey Press Association and has written a blog on county and state politics for the last three years. He lives in Ledgewood in Morris County.

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